Author name: Rafael da Silva, Jeff Eicher, Gregory Longo

Temporal Dropout Risk in Learning Analytics: A Harmonized Survival Benchmark Across Dynamic and Early-Window Representations

Rafael da Silva, Jeff Eicher, Gregory Longo / April 13, 2026

arXiv:2604.08870v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Student dropout is a persistent concern in Learning Analytics, yet comparative studies frequently evaluate predictive models under heterogeneous protocols, prioritizing discrimination over temporal inter…

cs.AI, cs.LG

A Mathematical Framework for Temporal Modeling and Counterfactual Policy Simulation of Student Dropout

Rafael da Silva, Jeff Eicher, Gregory Longo / April 13, 2026

arXiv:2604.08874v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: This study proposes a temporal modeling framework with a counterfactual policy-simulation layer for student dropout in higher education, using LMS engagement data and administrative withdrawal records. D…