Author name: Maksym Nechepurenko, Pavel Shuvalov

arXiv:2605.00420v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Evaluating the true forecasting ability of AI agents requires environments that are resistant to environments resistant to overfitting, free from centralized trust, and grounded in incentive-co…

arXiv:2605.00420v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Evaluating the true forecasting ability of AI agents requires environments resistant to overfitting, free from centralized trust, and grounded in incentive-compatible scoring. Existing benchmarks eithe…