CGM-JEPA: Learning Consistent Continuous Glucose Monitor Representations via Predictive Self-Supervised Pretraining

arXiv:2605.00933v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) can detect early metabolic subphenotypes (insulin resistance, IR; $\beta$-cell dysfunction), but population-scale deployment faces two coupled problems. First, the same physiological state appears through multiple views (CGM time series, venous OGTT, Glucodensity summaries), so single-view representations fail to transfer when deployment shifts the modality or setting. Second, baselines perform inconsistently across these shifts. Both problems point to one remedy: representations that abstract away from any single view to capture higher-level temporal and distributional structure. We propose CGM-JEPA, a self-supervised pretraining framework which predicts masked latent representations rather than raw values, yielding abstraction that transfers across modalities. X-CGM-JEPA adds a masked Glucodensity cross-view objective for complementary distributional information. We pretrain on $\sim$389k unlabeled CGM readings from 228 subjects and evaluate on two clinical cohorts ($N=27$ and $N=17$ public-release subsets) across three regimes (cohort generalization, venous-to-CGM transfer, home CGM) under 20-iteration $\times$ 2-fold cross-validation. X-CGM-JEPA ranks first or second on AUROC for both endpoints across all three regimes while no baseline does, exceeding the strongest baseline by up to $+6.5$ pp in cohort generalization and $+3.6$ pp in venous-to-CGM transfer (paired Wilcoxon, $p<0.001$). Under modality shift, it matches mean AUROC while redistributing toward weaker subgroups (ethnicity AUROC gap shrinks 25-54%); on sparse in-domain venous data, the distributional view lifts label-aware clustering (ARI $+39\%$, NMI $+40\%$). Code and weights: https://github.com/cruiseresearchgroup/CGM-JEPA