Author name: Vaniver

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Hedging and Survival-Weighted Planning

This wasn’t intended to be a topical post, but Claude Mythos’s system card is out, and… well.I wrote years ago about decision analysis, which often focused on atomic actions in small situations. In the real world, people take large numbers of actions…

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Are there Multiple Moral Endpoints?

This is a different approach to explaining an old idea.What is the deep future going to look like? Will we be proud of it, or ashamed of the choices that led to it?Lots of focus on the future is on the near future. How will ongoing wars go? What will t…

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Democracy Dies With The Rifleman

Political power grows out of the barrel of a gun — Mao ZedongHalfway thru recorded history, Athens became the first state we’re sure was a democracy, and inspiration to many later ones. Probably some existed earlier, and certainly some entities smalle…

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