Rag Performance Prediction for Question Answering

arXiv:2604.07985v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We address the task of predicting the gain of using RAG (retrieval augmented generation) for question answering with respect to not using it. We study the performance of a few pre-retrieval and post-retrieval predictors originally devised for ad hoc retrieval. We also study a few post-generation predictors, one of which is novel to this study and posts the best prediction quality. Our results show that the most effective prediction approach is a novel supervised predictor that explicitly models the semantic relationships among the question, retrieved passages, and the generated answer.