LogitDynamics: Reliable ViT Error Detection from Layerwise Logit Trajectories

arXiv:2604.10643v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable confidence estimation is critical when deploying vision models. We study error prediction: determining whether an image classifier's output is correct using only signals from a single forward pass. Motivated by internal-signal hallucination detection in large language models, we investigate whether similar depth-wise signals exist in Vision Transformers (ViTs). We propose a simple method that models how class evidence evolves across layers. By attaching lightweight linear heads to intermediate layers, we extract features from the last L layers that capture both the logits of the predicted class and its top-K competitors, as well as statistics describing instability of top-ranked classes across depth. A linear probe trained on these features predicts the error indicator. Across datasets, our method improves or matches AUCPR over baselines and shows stronger cross-dataset generalization while requiring minimal additional computation.