Real-Time Voicemail Detection in Telephony Audio Using Temporal Speech Activity Features

arXiv:2604.09675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Outbound AI calling systems must distinguish voicemail greetings from live human answers in real time to avoid wasted agent interactions and dropped calls. We present a lightweight approach that extracts 15 temporal features from the speech activity pattern of a pre-trained neural voice activity detector (VAD), then classifies with a shallow tree-based ensemble. Across two evaluation sets totaling 764 telephony recordings, the system achieves a combined 96.1% accuracy (734/764), with 99.3% (139/140) on an expert-labeled test set and 95.4% (595/624) on a held-out production set. In production validation over 77,000 calls, it maintained a 0.3% false positive rate and 1.3% false negative rate. End-to-end inference completes in 46 ms on a commodity dual-core CPU with no GPU, supporting 380+ concurrent WebSocket calls. In our search over 3,780 model, feature, and threshold combinations, feature importance was concentrated in three temporal variables. Adding transcription keywords or beep-based features did not improve the best real-time configuration and increased latency substantially. Our results suggest that temporal speech patterns are a strong signal for distinguishing voicemail greetings from live human answers.