Does the "6 months gap" still hold?

Hi. It is quite a consensus that the "jump" in quality of agentic development happened sometime in December 2025, transforming from "nice to have", to actually performing.

It was also long discussed that open source models lag the state of the art by 6 to 12 months.

Now, does it mean that to get the equivalence of Dec 2025 frontier performance (Opus 4.5?) from Open source models, we should still wait a few months? What has your experiences been like?

submitted by /u/ihatebeinganonymous
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